Friday, October 30, 2020

The mind of a Covid-19 patient

आंकड़ों को गिनते गिनते

हुम भी उनमें जुड़ गए

राहें लम्बी हो गईं

कुछ मोड़ थे जो गुज़र गए

अब तक क्या पाया क्या खोया

इसका अब कोई मलाल नहीं

ज़िन्दगी के कई लम्हे

हाथों में रेत से बिखर गए

आंकड़ों को गिनते गिनते

हुम भी उनमें जुड़ गए

राहें लम्बी हो गईं

कुछ मोड़ थे जो गुज़र गए


दो ग़ज़ की दूरियों को नापते

न जाने कितनी शामें और सहर गए

इल्म कर मेरे हाल का ग़ैर तो रूठे ही

कुछ अपने भी मिलने से मुकर गए

गुमाँ था ख़ूब अपनी तबियत पे

भूल गए कि सांसें किराये की हैं

कितना माँग कर लाए थे मालूम नहीं

हिसाब करते सभी ख़ाते बिगड़ गए

आंकड़ों को गिनते गिनते

हुम भी उनमें जुड़ गए

राहें लम्बी हो गईं

कुछ मोड़ थे जो गुज़र गए


बुरा वक्त है शायद टल ही जाए

फिर भी दिमाग़ के पाँव अकड़ गए

कैफ़ियत ऐसी ही है आजकल

कि अक्ल के घुटने टेक ठहर गए

आए थे दुनिया में ख़ाली हाथ

पर यादों का ख़ज़ाना कमाया है

उन्हें किसके हवाले करें ये सोच के

न जाने क्यों पूरी तरह ठिठुर गए

आंकड़ों को गिनते गिनते

हुम भी उनमें जुड़ गए

राहें लम्बी हो गईं

कुछ मोड़ थे जो गुज़र गए


- शैलेश, 30 अक्टूबर 2020

Friday, July 06, 2018

The 3 Mistakes of My Life while choosing my college & course

It was the May of 1988. I had appeared for my Class XII Board Exams and was waiting for CBSE to declare the results. My birthday was nearby and the joy of soon becoming an adult was overcome by the fear of whether my result would be on the expected lines and if I would make it to a North Campus college.

The result was announced 2 days before my birthday and brought with itself an assurance that all was not only well, but quite good. At 73.75%, I was probably among the top 4-5 percentile students 3 decades ago, when marks were more moderate and the possibility of not making it to a DU College was less severe.

I applied to all 7 campus colleges – St. Stephens for B.A. Hons. (Economics) and B.A. Hons. (English), and SRCC, Hindu, Hansraj, Kirori Mal, Ramjas and Khalsa College for B.Com. (Hons.) and B.A. Hons. (Economics), B.Com. (Hons.) being my first choice. With my marks, SRCC was a far cry for me and the only way I hoped to get in was if people with much more marks than me opted for some other courses elsewhere. However, I was quite confident that my marks would get me through to one of the other colleges for sure.

St. Stephen’s cut-off was the first one to be released and presented a huge dilemma for me – I had cleared B.A. Hons. (English) and was eligible to appear for an interview. For anyone in their right sense of mind, it would have been a dream come true but it wasn’t the same for me. The only reason why I had opted for B.A. Hons. (English) was the worry that if I didn’t make it to either of B.Com. (Hons.) and B.A. Hons. (Economics) at the other campus colleges, I would then pursue English Hons., but only if I got into St. Stephen’s. English, otherwise, was my favourite subject but I was placing my career ahead of my passion. However, given that the other colleges were yet to announce their first cut-off list, I had no choice but to appear for the interview at St. Stephen’s and take it ahead from there. And so, I prepared myself for the inevitable and reached for the interview on the defined day. I don’t know what the panel saw in me, but I got selected.

This compounded things even more as many people known to me told me to quickly take admission at St. Stephen’s, and stop being a fool in trying to go to any other college, even if it were SRCC. By that time, the other colleges had also announced their first-cut off. I had made it to B.A. Hons. (Economics) at Hansraj, KMC, Ramjas and Khalsa & B.Com. (Hons.) at Ramjas and Khalsa. Hindu was out of bounds as yet.

Happily, I took admission to Eco. Hons. at Hansraj, and was even more happy to realize that 17 other students – including 3 out of 4 of my closest friends from my school – had got admitted to Hansraj. The fact that I wouldn’t miss my friends at college was also quite heart-warming and, so, the decision to go to Hansraj became a no-brainer. It is pertinent to mention here that I decided to choose course ahead of college and decided not to take admission to the most prestigious St. Stephen’s College. While it may seem to be the right thing to do, this was my first mistake.

In choosing to go for my second choice course ahead of B.Com. (Hons.), simply because I believed that Hansraj was better than Ramjas or Khalsa, I chose college ahead of the course. How confused can one be! This was my second mistake.

Life at Hansraj was quite interesting. I got selected for the college cricket team & table tennis team. I was also chosen as a part of the Debating Society as well as the Quiz Team. Additionally, being someone who enjoyed acting and dancing, I decided to become a part of the Arts & Culture Society. I was soon busy with all the affairs of my co-curricular activities and studies took a back seat. Not that I wasn’t attending classes. I attended almost every class but I also spent all my spare time into the wee hours of the evening playing cricket & TT or working on plays every single day. This left me very little time to study and, while I always managed to complete all my assignments, I was merely taking care of the minimum that required me to complete my degree.

One day, many months later, one of my seniors decided to enlighten me about what it takes to do Economics Hons. He told me that an Eco. student can have the luxury to indulge himself in only one thing throughout college – his course books. He added that even at a college like Hansraj – which consisted of school toppers – routinely about 6-8 students fail in the subject in the first year itself. What I was doing was hara-kiri, and even God won’t be able to save me from failing unless I corrected my ways and returned to studies in right earnest. Else, he advised me that it was better to change my course and pursue something else.

Now, this was something that gave me a jolt right from the skies. Being someone who enjoyed my studies but also enjoyed other things equally, I wasn’t able to come to terms with the fact that I will have to give up everything else for my studies. I decided to change my course instead and opt for B.Com. (Hons.). There was one problem though – it was already October and Hansraj didn’t have any seats left for B.Com. (Hons.). I would have to try at another college. My efforts at Ramjas went vain as they didn’t have a seat available. Khalsa also refused to entertain me. What could’ve easily been my first-list colleges refused me admission later. Desperate, I decided to somehow get into B.Com. (Hons.) somewhere, even if it meant leaving my prestigious campus college. This was my 3rd mistake.

Zakir Husain College was near my home and I decided to try there. As luck would have it, they not only had a vacant seat in B.Com. (Hons.), they were only too happy to grant me admission because of my Class XII marks which were almost 10% higher than their first cut-off list. And finally, I was only too happy to get admission to ZHC – which wasn’t considered to be a half-decent college as compared to the campus colleges – even after I had already made it to St. Stephen’s, the topmost college of the country.

Anyhow, 3 decades later, I have no regrets. God has been kind, life has been good. I made it to the world’s best ad agency, JWT, very early in my career and never looked back thereafter. What I lost in college, I regained quickly through some very good luck and a lot of hard work.

Today, 30 years later, as my son gets ready to go to college, he has been lucky to get through to SRCC. My advice to him and others is simple – follow your heart. It is difficult to choose between college and course. I made 3 big mistakes; you don’t.

Friday, February 02, 2018

The Union Budget 2018-19: a bag of tricks

My take on the Union Budget 2018... not that it should matter to anyone. Slightly long, so pick up a tea or coffee, if you will, as you read this.
Statutory Warning: Read at your own risk. Anybody complaining of dying from a heavy dose of satire is solely himself/herself to blame.
The budget presented yesterday is the last budget of the current government. I would have preferred though if this was the last government offering the current budget.
The budget is supposed to be an exercise in which the government tries to balance the earnings and expenditure of the state, and doles out some freebies to the needy while strengthening some purse-strings with those who have more than they need. The 2018 budget, while attempting to do so, seems to have actually been prepared not by a financial wizard but by a wannabe-magician who seems to have got his rabbits and saw-blades mixed up. Given the budget document, I'm surely not going to be the one to volunteer to try and pull out the rabbit from his hat, for I could easily end up getting into the saw-the-lady-into-two chamber instead and not come out alive. In any case, I have a general mistrust of magicians, and the better they are the more untrustworthy they become. So, pardon me, but I am cynical.
Let's start by taking a look at various things in the budget. Some seem quite good, some seem not-so-great, while some are clearly excellent bridal make-up trying to cover up the blemishes and moon-craters.
The most popular thing first – the income tax and the benefits given to the middle class. The salaried people have been given a largesse in standard deduction of Rs. 40,000/-. Yesterday, every minister and all side-kicks of the party in power kept harping about the fact how this means additional Rs. 40,000/- in the hands of the people. Well, either these guys can’t pass a simple arithmetic test of plus & minus, or they’re full of ignorant innocence of the highest order. While the Standard Deduction has indeed been increased, the usual deductions under medical insurance & conveyance allowance totaling to almost Rs. 35,000/- have been taken away. This is the simplest case evidenced in economic history and entire political science of taking from the left pocket to put in the right one. Resultantly, the benefit is a magnanimous Rs. 5,000/- per annum instead of the promised Rs. 40,000/-. Add to this the additional 1% Education Cess that one needs to pay now, and the income tax is actually going to increase. So, we’ll all be left with a smell of good food that we can never see, touch or eat. Ah! The joys of mathematical jugglery know no bounds.
Not that spending additionally on education is a bad thing. All governments must definitely contribute more & more towards education and healthcare. However, what confuses me is that despite this 1% additional cess, the actual allocation to the HRD Ministry (that controls education) has reduced from 3.70% last year to 3.48% this year. This is actually a 6% decrease in actual spends from last year, and if one takes the current inflation rate of over 5.5%, this would actually mean a reduction by almost 12% over the last year. Even if one looks at the total spend on Education alone, it has gone up by Rs. 3,000 crore from Rs. 82,000 crore last year to 85,000 crore this year (less than 4% increase against an inflation rate of over 5.5% and a GDP growth forecast of 7%). This means that we’ll be actually spending about 8.5% lesser than last year after taking into account the inflation and GDP growth. Huh! How does that make any sense? Also, income tax receipts FY 2017-18 were Rs. 4.41 lakh crore in 2017-18. Given a 1% increase education surcharge, this would mean an additional collection of Rs. 4,410 crore even if the income tax collected is same as last year. So, why am I being asked to pay more if the government is going to be spending less?
That brings me to the one really good thing that hardly anybody can criticize – the health insurance plan for the poor, already been called Modicare (ala Obamacare). Before you read the next sentence, I would like to re-emphasize two key-words in the previous one – hardly anybody. Having made that clarification, here goes. On the surface, this seems really great, almost as good as being told that we’re all not going to be taxed anymore ever. However, as the saying goes, the devil lies in the details. 10 crore poorest families or 50 crore people (40% of India’s population) are proposed to be covered by the government for medical expenses up to Rs. 5 lac/annum. Well, which madman could argue against that? Ahem, even though I’d like to disagree, some people do call me mad… so, I’ll try and live up to that reputation, if only for once.
Personally, I am absolutely delighted with this I-care-for-the-poor-and-the-sick approach. That is what social care is all about, which I strongly support. The expense for this medical insurance (even at rock-bottom rates) is going to be about Rs. 5,000/- per family. So, that’s Rs. 50,000 crore public expenditure on healthcare. But why do I not see an allocation for this in the budget? The National Health Mission budget has actually been reduced by over Rs. 650 crore (2% decrease over last year) this year, and the total budgetary allocation of Rs 52,800 crore for health in 2018-19 is merely Rs. 2,720 crore higher (5% increase) than the revised estimate of Rs 50,080 crore in 2017-18. So, where’s the additional Rs. 50,000 crore for this insurance (which needs doubling of the health budget) going to come from? And why is the government not willing to spend this money on building hospitals instead and providing free care to all? Who will be the real financial beneficiaries of this medical insurance? Obviously, the insurance companies and the private hospitals. Surely, with a medical insurance of this nature, no person is likely to go to a government hospital anymore, and we shall see a mushrooming of private nursing homes (most likely leading to suboptimal care) and lots of inflated & fake medical bills that earn private hospitals millions without having much impact on overall health. In fact, this would also mean an immediate increase in private hospital charges, as demand will quickly outstrip supply of hospitals, beds and doctors. Who pays for this big farce? Well, of course, the honest tax payer constituting the top 15% population, who’s got absolutely no relief from the government in this budget. I have no problem paying for this great initiative, but the government, while announcing this grand schemed, hasn’t earmarked any funds at all for the same. No marks for guessing that it is a great magic trick by a good wannabe-magician trying to charm the audience through make-believe and sleight of hand.
While we’re on the subject of good things for the poor, let us also look at the MSP guarantee for Kharif crops at 150% of cost. While this MSP benefit is announced only for Kharif crop and not for Rabi and Zaid, it still seems to be really good, given the huge number of farmer suicides our country sees every year due to crop failure or inability to get the right price for their product or farm debt repayment. Let us look at how the government defines cost to understand this better. Total cost includes the basic purchase cost including seeds, fertilizers, manure, pesticides, etc. not including the cost of labour, land rent or interest on loan. An average farmer in India currently spends about Rs. 60,000 on each crop. Effectively, this means that over a 4 month period (July-October) of the Kharif crop, an average farmer is guaranteed Rs. 90,000 for his labour, or, Rs. 30,000 income for 4 months, and he still has to pay for land rent (almost half of the cultivated land in India is rented) and the interest on the loan taken from the local money-lender (which can be as high as 5% per month). Nonetheless, it is a good initiative. Though increased MSP always means increased prices and inflation. But, we can live with that to save farmer lives. If only the farmer got that benefit instead of traders and middle-men who actually make a clean 200-300% profit on agrarian produce. And, if only, he got it for all three crop seasons instead of just one.
Before I end, let’s also look at the biggest social initiative of this government and the pet project of our Pradhan Sevak – the Swachh Bhaarat Mission. Well, as the numbers point out, this year, it sees a decrease in budget by over Rs. 1,400 crore (7.3% decrease over last year). Guess, India has become much, much cleaner over the past 3 years and doesn’t need more investment on this anymore? Why do I not see the change though, I completely fail to understand! Somebody help me.
Yours ignoramus, Shailesh Nigam

Friday, January 13, 2017

MBA's are creating Professional Slaves rather than Entrepreneurs

Two days ago, on 11th January 2017, I was invited by my MBA institute, BIMTECH (Birla Institute of Management Technology) to moderate a panel discussion/debate on the topic, "MBAs are creating Professional Slaves rather than Entrepreneurs". The panelists were divided into 4 teams - 2 for and 2 against the motion - comprising 1 faculty and 1 student each. It was a brilliant debate and I loved listening to and interacting with the young minds as well as experienced professors. Thought I'd share my own views on the same topic, and so here I go...

How many of you have played Monopoly? Which are the most valuable properties? Don’t bother answering it… Mayfair & Park Lane; everyone knows that. Which are the least valued properties? Anybody knows that?

Old Kent Road, followed by Whitechapel Road. At £ 60/- each, both of them cost just 15% of Mayfair. And so, they are properties where you can easily build hotels at a very low cost and start getting more rent than Mayfair without a hotel, at a fraction of the basic cost of Mayfair. I have often beaten people owning both Mayfair and Park Lane with a portfolio boasting of Old Kent Road and Whitechapel Road and their likes. There are some safe bets too in Monopoly – the utility companies, the railway stations; but then only my grandmother played for safety in Monopoly. The young turks always ditched safety for a dream to build an empire. And that’s what I love about the game – despite the throw of the dice, you drive your own destiny and fortune definitely favours the brave.

As a player, as a banker, as an uninvolved watcher-on, we all love Monopoly. You know why we all love it? Because it allows us to dream big and become super successful. It indeed reflects entrepreneurship – if you take big risks and are willing to play the slow, waiting game without being too selfish in trying to own everything that you can lay your hands on – Mayfair and Park Lane will make you rich, very rich. If you play it shrewdly, you could sit with Old Kent Road & Whitechapel Road and still emerge fairly successful at the end. However, if you play it safe with Electric Company, Waterworks and Kings Cross Station, you will soon meet your Waterloo.

Unarguably, Monopoly – the game of building a business empire – is the most exciting game ever. And yet, it is probably the most stressful game too. And that is why it is so close to reality of being an entrepreneur. For stress & anxiety are bosom buddies of any half-successful entrepreneur.

Ben Horowitz, the co-founder of Opsware and  co-founder of the VC firm, Andreessen Horowitz, was once asked by a reporter, “With such a large business, it must be quite stressful for you. How do you ever go to sleep?”

“Oh! I sleep like a baby.”

“Really?”

“Yes. I wake up every two hours and cry.”

So, should you choose the stressful life of an entrepreneur who has his ups & downs or the safety cocoon of a corporate employee whose career graph is more or less charted out even before the first day in office?

The perks of working at a large corporate are many. An enviable brand name, a sprawling office complex, a big fat salary, a business card with a fancy designation, lots of cool colleagues to hang out and party with every day, office bashes where you get to sample the best whiskies and wines of unpronounceable names & unthinkable prices.

What’s more, for guys like me - who neither deserve nor get a second look from members of the fairer sex - there’s the additional perk of getting to dance with pretty girls. Corporates are indeed where you need to be. Right?

I mean, c’mon… where else will you get the pleasure of bitching about your boss with your colleagues while sucking up to her in private?

And, then there’s always the biggest perk around the corner – the huge possibility of finding a filthy-rich spouse at work!

And now think about entrepreneurship. I mean it doesn’t take rocket science to figure out which loser would choose to slog for 80 hours a week just to avoid working 40 hour weekdays in a corporate? Drink the cheapest, warm beer at 1:00 am at night in the solitude of your small office, if you can at all call your wealthy cousin’s garage or the 3+1 extra servant room in your parent’s 1500 sq. feet apartment your office.

And what are the chances of meeting and dancing with lovely, booze-enthused girls? Well, they’re as bright as finding kangaroos in Kenya. Oh, isn’t entrepreneurship fascinating!

And yet, after spending close to 2 dozen fully fun-filled years enslaved in the corporate world, I chose the latter. Why? Because I was fed up of the charade that all my colleagues – seniors, peers and juniors included – and I carried out every year, or being in a fulfilling job, when the biggest thing on everyone’s mind was occupying the all-powerful corner office, the high 7-figure salary package, and the long limo that would come with it. Anxiously waiting for the next appraisal announcement every year that would enslave me further, eagerly looking forward to the next bigger cell to become my office room, excitedly holding meetings with clients and colleagues who were all present inside those conference rooms just because of their own, self-chosen enslavement terms for getting the promised dole at the end of the month.

Well, those were my beautiful 24 years as a slave. Not that I didn’t enjoy them. I totally loved my life, especially in my last role as the Chief Strategy Officer, APAC of the world’s largest digital marketing company. I was travelling business class, staying at the world’s fanciest 5-star hotels, brushing shoulders with the who’s who of the corporate world globally. And yet, I felt unfulfilled and incomplete.

For, even a 5-star hotel can be quite a bore when you actually check-in at 10:00 pm to either sleep for 6 hours or type your next PowerPoint presentation before leaving sharp at 4:00 am to catch your next flight. And, I mean who – besides a pilot or an air hostess – wants to be on a jet plane every second day? It’s not that I don’t like to fly, but when you’re flying an average of 5,000 miles every week, catching flights mostly at unearthly hours, eating stale airline food from a plastic tray, trying to catch some quick shut-eye on the plane while an infant in the next seat is trying to find his highest vocal notes, it is not exactly a dream world.

But, quite frankly, I loved my job of being a marketing consultant. Who won’t like having the COOs and CEOs of large MNCs like Pepsi, HP, MetLife, Samsung, Microsoft, and their likes sit back with rapt attention and listen to & implement your suggestions to increase their business?

Yet, what my job lacked was the ability to create and nurture something unique for ‘myself’, instead of for others. I had the good fortune of being part of the team leading the strategy for designing, launching and managing the eCommerce portals for HP and Samsung in India. The strategy that we devised won them huge business and us many accolades and awards. And that was the problem – our clients won huge business, while we won only admiration. They earned big fat bonuses for implementing what we proposed, while we just earned a good case study to go out and woo more clients like them.

You know what sucks about awards? They are like medals given to soldiers for having taken bullets in the line of duty. The world sees and admires the medal, but only the wearer knows the pain.

With the phenomenal response that HP and Samsung eCom portals received, another newer business vertical for my organization had spawned. The vertical of building and managing more such websites.

At that juncture, I was pretty sure that I didn’t want to continue working for others’ success, and I didn’t want to continue being one of the spokes in the wheel, even if the most important one. And so, I decided to become my own boss. With a dream to do something interesting for MYSELF rather than for the safety of my bank balance. With a desire to address consumer needs based on what consumers want and not based on what a brand wishes to push. With a determination to work alone if it were to be so, in my quest for creating something valued and valuable. And that’s how I launched my own eCommerce portal, DesiFirangi.com. Finally, I stopped being a corporate caterpillar, and entered chrysalis to become a business butterfly.

A caterpillar is one of the most fascinating creatures. It evolves during its lifetime like no other living being. Yet a caterpillar, which only seeks the safety of readily-available food in plant leaves, will never become a butterfly that flies wherever it wishes, to feed on nectar from various flowers. And yet, you can’t become an admired butterfly before leading the life of a humble caterpillar, even if it is in your own organization.

However, I leave it to each one you to judge for yourself which is better – being an entrepreneur or being a corporate executive. For one has seen many talented employees rise up the corporate ladder to become CEOs of large global corporates, and define & drive their destinies. Even if I were to just take Indian names, there are far too many who have risen to the very top of their global organizations, and today wield the power to direct not just their own fate, but the fate of their companies and to an extent the fate of the entire world & its populace.

The likes of Indra Nooyi of Pepsi, Sundar Pichai of Google, Satya Nadella of Microsoft, Ajaypal Singh Banga of MasterCard, Rakesh Kapoor of Reckitt Benckiser, Shantanu Narayen of Adobe Systems, Nikesh Arora of SoftBank, Vikram Pandit of Citibank, Sanjay Jha of GlobalFoundaries and earlier of Motorola, who became the highest paid CEO globally in 2014 receiving US$ 66 million as a ‘Golden Parachute’ when Google acquired Motorola. So, finally, the choice is yours.

Somebody once remarked to me that employees are like turtles, seeking the safety of their shells, and entrepreneurs are like cheetahs, running fast to catch their prey. I am not so sure that that analogy is correct. I like cheetahs but I also very much admire turtles. For while a cheetah only hunts to survive, a turtle has the guts to stick his neck out to make any progress in life. And turtles – as we all know – are one of the oldest living and longest living, most evolutionary creatures on Earth. You can choose what you wish to be – an entrepreneur or a corporate executive. Just don’t stop taking risks and don’t stop evolving. 

All the best!

Sunday, December 11, 2016

Secret Revealed - The real culprit behind failure of a cashless economy

Got my cooking gas cylinder refill from Indane delivered yesterday. Even though Indane is a central government PSU, the vendor refused to accept PayTM, cheque or bank transfer, asking for hard cash only. If the government cannot ensure cashless transactions for its own departments and their vendors even after a month of launching this cashless drive, how can it accept private companies, merchants and traders to do so? There are very few, at two ends of the spectrum, who are adopting PayTM - the very large who are already okay with accepting payments in credit card/debit card, and those who are really very small traders and see this as a saviour in the current times where they have lost 70-80% business. Neither of those loses anything in terms of additional white money sales and taxes. The real problems lies amongst those in-between these two segments - the mid-level traders who suppress sales and income.

I realized this just now when I learnt through my neighbourhood chemist the real reason why merchants like him are not adopting PayTM or other non-credit card/debit card payment options. Accepting payments through PayTM or other wallets - that even the poorest can have and use - would mean virtually 60-70% payments for all their sales would come to them in white money against less than 10% that comes currently (through credit card/debit card payments, where card penetration is small and usage is virtually negligible). Which means they will now need to pay sales tax on that additional 50-60% (actually 6-7 times more than what they reported earlier), plus income tax as well on additional reported income by them.

But besides that issue, the bigger problem is elsewhere. If they suddenly start showing 6-7 times greater sales (60-70% reported sales now against 10% reported sales till last month), the sales tax authorities will definitely question them. This is definitely a highly avoidable situation, which they would go to any length to avoid even at the cost of losing some sales in the interim.

However, this final one takes the cake in the non-adoption of PayTM or UPI. They purchase a bulk of their merchandise in cash and sell in cash, with no bills for purchase or sales. If they adopt PayTM, even bigger will be this issue of now having to declare their total purchases (which they suppressed till now), as they cannot suddenly show sales of Rs. 6-7 lacs/month against purchase of Rs. 80,000/- only against which they till now showed sales of Rs. 1 lac. There are two problems contained herein. One, they definitely don't want to show this increase in sale and purchase, as it will also result in them having to pay income tax, which they totally avoid till now. Two, their distributor doesn't want to show increased sales from him, and thereby forcibly having to show increased purchases by him, and simply refuses to sell on cheque more than 20% of the total merchandise.

Given this, it is clear that the black economy will continue to exist and black money will continue to be generated even after 30th December, 2016. Because we, the people, want it to be so, and the government and its officials actually encourage us to do so, by turning a blind eye to the real source of generation of black money in the consumer goods economy - the factories and the import hubs. The producers/importers are encouraged to avoid invoicing and taxes by corrupt government officials who - as we all know - cannot function fully without the blessings and guidance of their seniors. This leads to a flow of unreported production/import, leading to black money being generated at multiple levels - right from the sourcing done by the factory/importer, to its production/repackaging, to its distributors, to its wholesalers and, finally, to the retailers.

The only way to stop this is at the production/import level (at factories and ports of import) itself, by ensuring everything is fully accounted for before leaving the premises. That way, everything will need to be fully invoiced, and will be able to move through the white money channel only. Wonder, given the economic compulsions and commercial friendships of various political parties, if we can ever see that happening.

Monday, February 16, 2015

A new kid on the block may not be only be competitive, but may even give you a run for your money


Many organizations take pride in what they've created and how they've crushed competition in the past to rise to and remain at the top, and how they will remain untouched by the small newcomers.

Cricket today showed how inaccurate that fallacy can be. How it is so foolish to ignore the warning bells and just keep looking within and at big teams like yourself thinking you're away from danger.

Unfancied Ireland today chased a huge 300+ target with exceptional ease and over 4 overs to spare against two-times world champions and one of the ICC World Cup Tournament favourites, West Indies.

West Indies would've surely assumed that they had the match in their pocket after scoring 304. However, a great top order batting performance by Ireland made world class bowlers like Roach, Taylor, and company look totally pedestrian, and Ireland romped home with 4 wickets and 4 overs to spare. This was not just a victory, it was a humiliating defeat beyond comprehension.

Reminds me of 1983 when Kapil's Devils showed to the world that cricket can produce Davids who will not only take on Goliaths but also conquer them.

Today, traditional brick and mortar businesses are facing a similar threat to their very existence due to the growth of eCommerce companies. These newcomers are rewriting every rule in the book - whether it is about range, or about pricing, or about customer service - and are finally making consumer the king. 

Those hit hardest are the traditional trade stores. Whether they're the neighbourhood mom-n-pop stores or whether they're mall-based modern retail chains, the story is the same. These businesses just did not see the snow coming down, and now it's an avalanche that's hit them so hard that they're finding it difficult to even survive. Such is the storm that even huge global brands like HP and Samsung are at their wits end as to how to ensure that their traditional channel partners remain profitable and loyal to them. Their retail partners can't match the deep-pockets of the eCom giants on marketing, can't match their reach, and definitely can't match the prices or the product range & availability given their huge costs for high-street-retail infrastructure, limited shelf-space, limited shop-floor inventory and front-end staff.

While one the one hand it can be said that these businesses did not expect eCommerce to grow so big so fast in India, the truth is that they simply ignored the threat perception and did not prepare themselves for this.

Today, some brands have learnt their lesson the hard way and are quickly making amends. Tatas have already invested in snapdeal.com, thereby ensuring that their brand Croma doesn't suffer so much and, in fact, benefits from the growth of eCommerce. Croma mentions that products across various electronic categories like mobiles, tablets and laptops, that are available at its physical stores will be available for purchase on Croma's brand store on SnapDeal, taking Croma's reach far beyond their 101 stores in just 25 cities.

Other traditional retail majors like Arvind and Reliance have also made forays online. In August last year, retail firm Arvind launched an online site Creyate, which retails customizable apparel. After a quiet foray in eCommerce for their grocery business restricted to Mumbai only last November, Reliance Industries announced its plans to start online sales of mobile phones, laptops, televisions and hope appliances within a month in December, 2014. Finally, the realization has dawned, and big businesses are coming around to the fact that David can beat Goliath with its nimbleness and with public on its side, and they need to move fast to counter them or be left behind.

Guess, it is the season of small guys winning against mighty giants!

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Give me a home where no terrorists roam

This poem - written by me in 1984 - is dedicated to the 132 children who fell to the cowardice of terrorists in Peshawar yesterday.

Give me a home
Where no terrorists roam
And the kids can play
On the streets all day

No firing, no gun shots
No killing of tiny tots
No fear in the air
No mothers in despair

No murders in religion’s name
Let’s not make life easy game
Guns are not anyone’s toy
Funerals don’t bring anyone joy

Does it matter which God I pray
Does your God hate mine, I say
Is your blood’s colour different than mine
Is your prayer and temple more divine

So, why are we all fighting each other
And killing one another’s son and brother
Is this what you really call freedom of choice
Where only one religion can have a voice

Let’s make our country, our home a beautiful place
Where peacefully can reside human race
And all of us can live together in peace
May I have my paradise back, please

Give me a home
Where no terrorists roam
And the kids can play
On the streets all day

Oh! Give me a home
Where no terrorists roam
And the kids can play
On the streets all day

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